Day 11 Confessional - Damned if You Do, Damned if You Don't
Jun 28, 2015 21:19:03 GMT
Host Austin, Natalie, and 1 more like this
Post by pureaceg on Jun 28, 2015 21:19:03 GMT
(Note: My numbering has been off for all my confessionals by one day - I don't know if you can edit thread titles, but just add a day to confessions 1-8 just in case, yes?)
It appears that I was correct in believing that it would either be Dan or Nick walking the figurative plank next in this pirate adventure of ours. It's a pity for Dan - while I did not speak with him, those on my tribe that had spoke quite highly of him. That it was a 3 second difference that helped to seal his fate still has me thankful that it was Davis that came out ahead, and not the other way around.
That doesn't appear to be the big story, though, at least not as far as my own game is concerned. The mutiny twist has happened, and with it, Morgan has left our camp to find solace in Read. To say that this affects my game is putting it mildly. This doesn't just affect my game - this may very well nuke it.
I voted with Morgan at the previous Davis Tribal Council, where the vote turned out 7-2. With all of Morgan's fussing about alongside my careful tongue, I felt comfortable knowing that if we ended up going back there, it would be her torch snuffed instead of mine. Now, that safety net is gone. If Davis returns to Tribal Council, I'm certain that it will be my head.
Morgan spoke with me before she left - I remained on good terms with her since that Tribal Council, hoping that if we went back, we could still rally together and figure out a plan to save ourselves. But she had had enough of Davis, and likely felt the weight of her position within the tribe acutely. "I'd rather take my chances with the non-social Read than sit here and be taken out by Coach's army," was what she said. She's still certain that there is a 5-person alliance about, and if there is one, then there could be no doubt that she was its next target.
She didn't urge me to mutiny with her, saying that it was my decision. But she did make it clear that if I stayed on Davis, I would be the next to be sent away.
She's right to say that I'm in trouble here. I was on the wrong side of a strong majority vote, my closest allies (a term I have no choice but to use loosely right now) have already proven a greater willingness to vote with the majority than risk their own positions within the tribe, and even though both Coach and Sash have heard my story of the events that led to my voting Sash, I can't be certain that their assurances that everything is forgiven are truthful.
The idea of this five person alliance still irks me as a possibility, and I have to assume the worst case scenario that it exists. Whitney got voted Captain by 4 people - I don't think that is a coincidence. Coach and Sash must be together. Rodney is undoubtedly loyal to at least Sash if Morgan's claims about him were true. Shirin may be an outlier if the story that she told me is true, voting Whitney Captain to keep up appearances. Those are the five that Morgan singled out, and the number is staggering when you're on the other side of it.
Can I trust Shirin? I certainly want to. I've made it clear to her that I don't think Sash and Coach will keep her around to the end, as I would. But I have nothing to offer her compared to the safety of four other people. Asking her to vote with me to take out any of those other four would be asking her to take a major risk in her game, and she's already shown a willingness to go with a certain bet.
Which leaves me with Hali as my closest ally. My, how the game has changed in the last 11 days. And my only hope of staying around another vote may be throwing her under the bus because of the possibility of a hidden immunity idol in her possession. I know she doesn't have it, she's told me as such - but she could be lying. She's been there often enough that it's a great possibility.
Morgan said correctly that I'm in trouble on Davis. But what was I supposed to do? Gamble everything on 7 members of the Read tribe that I haven't spoken with all game, a giant target painted in Davis green on my back? At least on Davis I know I have a few options.
Anyway, the next challenge is in a few hours. I'll finally be able to participate again, which means I have to give this my 100% effort. I can't feign weakness as strategy anymore - the time for that passed on Day 7 when Vince walked. My greatest hope is to either achieve victory at the challenge, whatever it is, and avoid Tribal Council altogether, or put in a major effort that would make voting out Hali, or even Rodney, a more desirable solution.
One of the last things I said to Morgan before she left was that I may end up kicking myself for not joining her on Read. The next few days will reveal if there's any truth to that statement or not.
It appears that I was correct in believing that it would either be Dan or Nick walking the figurative plank next in this pirate adventure of ours. It's a pity for Dan - while I did not speak with him, those on my tribe that had spoke quite highly of him. That it was a 3 second difference that helped to seal his fate still has me thankful that it was Davis that came out ahead, and not the other way around.
That doesn't appear to be the big story, though, at least not as far as my own game is concerned. The mutiny twist has happened, and with it, Morgan has left our camp to find solace in Read. To say that this affects my game is putting it mildly. This doesn't just affect my game - this may very well nuke it.
I voted with Morgan at the previous Davis Tribal Council, where the vote turned out 7-2. With all of Morgan's fussing about alongside my careful tongue, I felt comfortable knowing that if we ended up going back there, it would be her torch snuffed instead of mine. Now, that safety net is gone. If Davis returns to Tribal Council, I'm certain that it will be my head.
Morgan spoke with me before she left - I remained on good terms with her since that Tribal Council, hoping that if we went back, we could still rally together and figure out a plan to save ourselves. But she had had enough of Davis, and likely felt the weight of her position within the tribe acutely. "I'd rather take my chances with the non-social Read than sit here and be taken out by Coach's army," was what she said. She's still certain that there is a 5-person alliance about, and if there is one, then there could be no doubt that she was its next target.
She didn't urge me to mutiny with her, saying that it was my decision. But she did make it clear that if I stayed on Davis, I would be the next to be sent away.
She's right to say that I'm in trouble here. I was on the wrong side of a strong majority vote, my closest allies (a term I have no choice but to use loosely right now) have already proven a greater willingness to vote with the majority than risk their own positions within the tribe, and even though both Coach and Sash have heard my story of the events that led to my voting Sash, I can't be certain that their assurances that everything is forgiven are truthful.
The idea of this five person alliance still irks me as a possibility, and I have to assume the worst case scenario that it exists. Whitney got voted Captain by 4 people - I don't think that is a coincidence. Coach and Sash must be together. Rodney is undoubtedly loyal to at least Sash if Morgan's claims about him were true. Shirin may be an outlier if the story that she told me is true, voting Whitney Captain to keep up appearances. Those are the five that Morgan singled out, and the number is staggering when you're on the other side of it.
Can I trust Shirin? I certainly want to. I've made it clear to her that I don't think Sash and Coach will keep her around to the end, as I would. But I have nothing to offer her compared to the safety of four other people. Asking her to vote with me to take out any of those other four would be asking her to take a major risk in her game, and she's already shown a willingness to go with a certain bet.
Which leaves me with Hali as my closest ally. My, how the game has changed in the last 11 days. And my only hope of staying around another vote may be throwing her under the bus because of the possibility of a hidden immunity idol in her possession. I know she doesn't have it, she's told me as such - but she could be lying. She's been there often enough that it's a great possibility.
Morgan said correctly that I'm in trouble on Davis. But what was I supposed to do? Gamble everything on 7 members of the Read tribe that I haven't spoken with all game, a giant target painted in Davis green on my back? At least on Davis I know I have a few options.
Anyway, the next challenge is in a few hours. I'll finally be able to participate again, which means I have to give this my 100% effort. I can't feign weakness as strategy anymore - the time for that passed on Day 7 when Vince walked. My greatest hope is to either achieve victory at the challenge, whatever it is, and avoid Tribal Council altogether, or put in a major effort that would make voting out Hali, or even Rodney, a more desirable solution.
One of the last things I said to Morgan before she left was that I may end up kicking myself for not joining her on Read. The next few days will reveal if there's any truth to that statement or not.